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Document 1886400
9-8 9.6
CONCLUSIONS
The analysis of the annual accident data indicated that there are a number of
factors that show similar trends to the number of accidents, e.g. volume of fuel
sales a:qq, UUIllber of registered
vehi,~les.
The anqfsis shows too great a variation
to be utiliseq, llS predictors of \he nUlllber of qccidents. The resiq'\lals in historic
accident data
ip.~ury
~redictiQf1 ~eell
to be much less tltan the
targ~t
set for acciq,ent,
or fatality req,\lction. Tl1ere is a need for tne develoPIHl:'lllt of a moq~l tl~a t
cap. predict the
nump~r
of accidents, fatalities , etc. to evaluf\te tlte reductipn in
accidents and fatalities from the road traffic accident improvement interventions
bqsed on
eJ~:posure.
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